Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Friday, August 31, 2012

Isaac's Terrible Aftermath Dam Failure & Leslie Inches More & More West

Very tragic situation developing regarding the dam failure. Understand this is far away from any area that was told to evacuate and though they were told there would be a lot of rain, no one expected things to play out this way.  The dam that is failing was scheduled to be repaired later this year...

Short on time and long on concerns.

Donate now to www.redcross.org as there are so many people who will be needing their help and ...or ..the help of any other local charity that you would like to give.

Also, there are still many areas with high water that are flooded and the death toll is expected to climb.

As for Leslie... she keeps inching closer and closer. Getting bigger, stronger and on her way to her possible Major Hurricane Status later this week.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/flash-vis.html

She is no longer out by Africa and she looks more and more like a Cane as time goes by.



What is the NHC waiting for...recon??

Also, be aware that the 5 PM Cone is to the right of the Model Consensus. It is less important in my mind that the previous forecast verified than the most accurate data is given to the public. Again, a week before Hurricane Isaac hit the bayou country to the South and West of New Orleans the models were calling for a hit on Miami and many models took the storm far to the right through the Bahamas. A week out is very, highly inaccurate and Leslie may be a Category 3 or 4... not a weaker storm like Isaac. Keep that in mind. Also, size wise she is big.... like a 53 foot tractor trailer hauling tons of tropical moisture with her on her road trip across the Atlantic.

Quote from the NHC below.. also...those cities in the Islands still have a 34% chance of having tropical storm force winds...despite the official "out to sea" forecast.

If you look at the NAVY map you will see why... the left end of their "cone" hits 70 West.




THE OFFICIAL NHC PREDICTION
IS SHIFTED WESTWARD TO COME CLOSER TO THE DYNAMICAL MODEL
CONSENSUS... ALTHOUGH THE MODEL CONSENSUS IS STILL A BIT WEST OF
THE NEW FORECAST.  


Warnings for the dam area and other nearby areas also affected:

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/lix/

The Percy Quin Dam upriver from Kentwood is about to fail... people are being evacuated.

http://www.nola.com/hurricane/index.ssf/2012/08/mandatory_evacuation_being_con.html

map-percyquindam-083012.jpg

Not a good situation.... please pray, please send money and donate as you are able to help the people affected by this terrible tragedy.

Be back tomorrow evening with more info on both the aftermath of Isaac and what should by then be Hurricane Leslie.

Besos Bobbi



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