Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Thursday, August 26, 2010

Dusty Storm AKA Earl




What we have above is a Dusty Storm named Earl and this image shows the story more than words can say. See the dust ...Saharan Dust that is... caught in the spiral bands to the north of Earl. Until he gets past the dust he is not going to be able to intensify much. That being said, the slower he intensifies the further west he should get though storms are want not to follow the rules.

Fiona or the wave that will be Fiona is following Earl's path except..........Fiona is staying a bit more to the south and should be the bigger threat for the islands and the mainland beyond.



I'm not saying Earl is not a problem for some American Coastline I am just saying I am not sure which beach will be his preferred beach if he does not follow Danielle into the wide open Atlantic.

The other problem with Earl is that the NHC isn't exactly sure where his center is and if they aren't exactly sure where his center is than the track map is pretty much garbage in and garbage out.

Salient Paragraph from NHC Discussion on Earl at 11 AM.

"THE CENTER OF EARL HAS BEEN REPOSITIONED ABOUT 30 NMI SOUTH OF THE
PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND FORECAST TRACK BASED ON A BLEND OF VISIBLE
AND MICROWAVE FIXES. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS A 24-HOUR
AVERAGE OF 275/15...AFTER SMOOTHING THROUGH ALL THE WIGGLES AND
WOBBLES IN THE FIXES. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK WAS SHIFTED SOUTH
OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY DUE IN PART TO THE MORE SOUTHWARD INITIAL
POSITION."

That's a problem for the NHC if he is moving more to the south of his forecasted motion but it's very common for wayward systems to be repositioned temporarily so we have to keep watching.

Waiting for the 11 or waiting for the 5 is the song of the season from now until November.

As for Danielle, look at her spin... 105 mph winds! Still think she has a funny structure for a storm trying to go Cat 3 but hey if it works for it.

And as for the wave that will be Fiona... she's a beauty....really a beauty.

This is getting like A Team.... Plan B always in the works and loving when a plan comes together.

As for me... am doing fine and dandy today while I juggle three things... spending a rest day at home, listening to Stalker Boy music and drinking herbal tea and eating brown rice and steamed vegetables (thanks for the rice cooker too!!) and reading a book and watching loops and well how many things is that? Oh, and bought some tops from the Victoria Secrets sale online...must have gotten that bad habit from my daughter. It's a day to think.... to watch.... to listen...to ponder and watch the sunlight dance in the trees. And, hoping to get to the beach really soon and feel the breeze of Danielle :)

Truth is.......it all depends on timing... everything in life depends on timing as we learned so long ago. IF Danielle moves fast and the door slams shut and the high builds in and if Earl moves fast or slow and where the highs and lows go and it's a strange dance.

Great map graphic rarely used from the NHC... the old 1 2 3 map which I think works well since we have 1 2 3 areas to watch.



So... keep watching and will let you know as soon as I know if Earl or Fiona has two tickets to paradise.

Loop to enjoy to the song that is playing .... should have known, how do I always forget who sings that?? Mental block maybe??

http://www.intellicast.com/Storm/Hurricane/AtlanticSatellite.aspx?animate=true



Besos Bobbi $torm lol no words

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